Despite a
severe crisis similar to 2008 being unlikely, the latest sanitary and
production developments indicate that the industry still has challenges ahead.
Chilean
Atlantic salmon production is expected to increase by more than 20% in 2013,
but its growth will fall due to challenges in production, sanitation and
finance. In her report, ‘Chilean salmon industry - new regulations to slow
growth, but future still remains bright’, Valeria Mutis, analyst, Rabobank,
claims the growth in Chilean salmon output will stall between 2014 and 2016.
Speaking
about the ISA (infectious salmon anemia) outbreak in 2008, she said regulation
of the industry needs further improvement based on research to move to a more
sustainable 'outbreak prevention' model as opposed to the more 'outbreak
control' orientation of the system now in effect.
Sanitary deterioration: The industry should be more
preventive to maintain a good sanitary status which is good for the environment
and also for business. The latest developments show there is material sanitary
deterioration at some neighborhoods. Besides the impact on production costs
driven by this deterioration, this will in most cases cut the production
potential of the affected sites in the following cycle. After the ISA crisis,
the regulation stated when a farming site is ISA positive all fish must be
slaughtered within a short time frame to avoid further dissemination.
Widespread outbreak: In 2007, the first ISA outbreaks
appeared and immediately after, in 2008, there was a widespread outbreak of the
virus that decimated the production of Atlantic salmon. Beyond the big losses
and devastating effects, ISA triggered the complete transformation of the
sector, a radical change of the salmon farming model in Chile. The industry
organization under the new model is totally different than before the crisis;
roughly speaking it shifted from an individual to a cooperative system
(producers must work together under the concept of neighborhoods or management
areas) pursuant to strict biosecurity regulations and subject to the control
and surveillance of a much more empowered authority. The report claims Chile
has the potential to be one of the best places in the world to produce salmon
long term and the America's and possibly Asia are where most growth will occur.
Profitable growth: Hopefully, the past five or six years, which
has seen the industry affected badly by outbreaks of the ISA virus, sea lice
and other disease, will be key learning points which will set the industry on a
path of more consistent, sustainable and profitable growth.
A new but
more limited outbreak of the ISA virus has rattled the Chilean salmon industry
in 2013 as it recovers from the 2008 crisis. Even though the outbreak was
controlled, it raised doubts over the effectiveness of regulations put in place
following the 2008 outbreak.
Source: http://www.foodproductiondaily.com/content/view/print/800205
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